
The Atlantic hurricane season officially ends on Friday 11/30/2007. So how did the forecasters do. It is pretty interesting to see what the supposed professional forecasters came up with versus what really happened. Below are the numbers for the last few years. The most noted forecasters are Dr. Gray at Colorado State University (CSU) and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) of the National Hurricane Center. I am using the statistics that these forecasters put out in May of each year just prior to the June 1st beginning of each season.
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# of Named Storms # of Hurricanes # of Major Hurricanes
CSU 17 9 5 Year 2007
NOAA 13-17 7-10 3-5
Actual 15 6 2
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CSU 17 9 5 Year 2006
NOAA 13-16 8-10 4-6
Actual 10 5 2
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CSU 15 8 4 Year 2005
NOAA 12-15 7-9 3-5
Actual 28 15 7
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CSU 14 8 3 Year 2004
NOAA 12-15 6-8 2-4
Actual 15 9 6
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I find it laughable that these people still have jobs after the last 3 seasons. At least the NOAA is smart enough to give a range and not make it so obvious just how far off they can be. 2004 was probably the best year for both forecasters, but from 2005-2007 they made complete fools out of themselves.
I am just glad that the last 2 years have been very mild for us Floridians. A few more years of mild seasons and the insurance industry will hopefully settle back to something a little more normal.
Copyright © 2007. Sand Dollar Realty Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Rob Arnold, ABR, CPL, GRI, Full service and investor friendly Realtor, Managing real estate broker, Licensed mortgage broker, Notary Public
407-389-7318 www.SDRhouses.com/ www.WeBuyHousesFlorida.com/
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Rob Arnold - Your full service and investor friendly Realtor ® in Orlando and Central Florida.
407-389-7318 / 1-877-389-7318 www.SDRhouses.com www.WeBuyHousesFlorida.com
We sell foreclosure, short sale, and bank owned REO house home throughout Central Florida, metro Orlando, and the Space Coast. We sell and list Central Florida real estate and Orlando real estate. Free list of foreclosure and short sale houses available. Our firm also provides flat fee MLS listings, For Sale By Owner, and menu-based services in most parts of Florida including Orlando, Altamonte Springs, Apopka, Kissimmee, Sanford, Lake Mary, and Deltona.




This fourth quarter of the year is where many sellers especially REOs (banks that have foreclosed on a property) are willing to dump their property before the tax year ends. Here are some numbers from real deals that we have sold recently.